The Envelope Picks Golden Globe Front-Runners

Tom O'Neill over at The Envelope interviewed a big chunk of the Hollywood Foreign Press to see which films are leading the pack in the Golden Globe race, the big final playoff before the Academy Awards. His findings?

Beware, as of this writing (Monday), HFPA members had not yet seen "Blood Diamond" (they're seeing it tomorrow) or "The Good Shepherd," but here's what they think about the others in terms of early Globe jockeying.

Among dramas, voters are absolutely crazy about "Babel," "The Queen" and "The Departed." The other two slots for best drama picture will probably go to two of these three: "Flags of Our Fathers," "Bobby" or "World Trade Center." They're not responding gushingly to "The Pursuit of Happyness," but they love Will Smith's performance and plan to nominate him. There just doesn't seem to be sufficient support to lift the film itself up into the top race, as many people believe could happen at the Oscars.

One voter said that, between the two sparring 9/11 movies, they prefer "World Trade Center" to "United 93" "because it's more about the human relationships involved."

On the comedy/musical side, "Dreamgirls," "Little Miss Sunshine," "Borat" and "The Devil Wears Prada" look like locks for best-pic bids. The fifth slot could go to "Thank You for Smoking" or another small indie. Some observers say "Stranger Than Fiction," but not everyone agrees.

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